
Saya here, when not snarling for the cameras, is supposed to be a step along the way to a robotic teacher. Not quite out of the uncanny valley yet, are we ma'am? And why did they make you with a lazy eye?
My mind was wandering today on my morning run (yeah, I know), and it happened to settle on a documentary about Japan a friend was watching last week. I forget what it was called, but the upshot was that some people there are seeing mechanization as a way to alleviate their declining population problem, by replacing the service sector with robots capable of performing various tasks like waiting on you at restaurants, selling you goods in stores, being basic caregivers, and so on.
And probably porn, which really wouldn't be helping the root issue. But let's leave that one aside for now.
At the time, the premise seemed ridiculous. The whole time I was watching, I couldn't help but wonder why they didn't realize the solution to their declining problem wasn't to further reduce human contact, but rather just the opposite. All this effort and expense to develop what are at best clumsy approximations of a paraplegic in the final throes of brain death. I couldn't see the point, except from a geeky fascination with the technology itself and the inevitable progress to a workable model. But as a solution to their social problem? I didn't buy it.
Then, I started thinking instead about how Japan has recently been such a useful barometer for the future; economic, political, and technological. Why not demographic as well? The circumstances may not be the same, but you can see parallel trends in most industrialized nations. The U.S. is an exception, but most European and Asian industrialized countries are seeing declining populations. I don't really care about the causes or effects, or even really the hard numbers here... I just want to extract a hypothetical situation.
Suppose the trend continues, and generally applies to all industrialized, moneyed nations. Increasingly, just like Japan, these nations will become desperate for people to fill jobs in the service sectors of their economies. Fewer kids with a bigger tax-paying population base, at least for the first couple generations, means that education should be pretty good. So they should be graduating from universities in higher proportions, ready and expecting to join the white-collar work force, with fewer and fewer people willing to be flip burgers and sweep floors.
At the beginning, of course, this will be dealt with by a low-income immigrant workforce and by the burgeoning elderly, much as has been the case in the States for some time. But -- fully acknowledging several logical leaps along the way -- eventually that immigrant pool will decline, as the source nations are enriched enough to reduce the need for emigration.
So if you accept that progression, one could see Japan as an example for what the industrialized world might look like over the next... I dunno, hundred years? Top-heavy, slowly dying off, with nobody to wipe our liver-spotted faces when we dribble our cream of corn.
I guess the robot idea is starting to look pretty good.
Also, I basically just typed this so I could test out how new themes handled embedded images (this one doesn't do it very well, as you can see). It kind of looks like I jacked up my WordPress install modifying it for this theme. Meh... whatever. It looks good.
Oh wait, awesome... v1.5 is out.
Oh wait, balls... it doesn't work right. I guess I really did screw up my install. Oh well, time to wipe it clean and reinstall/restore... a job for some free weekend.